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The latest CapitalWire reporting and analysis tagged Federal Reserve.

Analysis & Opinion

Week in Review: The Five Numbers That Explain the End of October

Payrolls at 125,000, PCE at 3.1%, Brent at $113.40, gold at $2,847 and December hike odds down to 68% from 78%. Four of those numbers describe a slowing economy. The fifth describes a supply shock, and the distance between them is the story.

Helena Marsh·October 31, 2026·5 min read
Economy

November 2026 Economic Calendar: Eight Prints That Set the December Tone

November holds eight releases that matter for the December 9-10 FOMC, plus a Bank of England decision on November 5. Here is the sequence, the threshold that matters for each, and what would actually move the 68% December hike probability.

Marcus Feld·October 31, 2026·5 min read

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