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Monetary Policy

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The latest CapitalWire reporting and analysis tagged Monetary Policy.

Economy

Fed December Preview: Three Prints That Decide the 68% Hike Odds

Fed funds futures assign about a 68% probability to a quarter-point hike on December 9-10, down from roughly 78% before payrolls — and three prints before the meeting, starting with ISM services on November 4, will decide whether the Committee tightens into an oil-driven inflation pulse.

Helena Marsh·October 30, 2026·5 min read
Economy

Fed Signals Patient Path as Committee Debates Neutral Rate

Federal Reserve officials used speeches this week to sketch a more patient approach to further easing, with several suggesting the neutral rate may be higher than previously estimated.

Marcus Feld·October 24, 2026·6 min read

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